We have already seen in the article http://secondriseofislam.blogspot.com/2013/06/imperatives-of-pakistans-foreign-policy_13.html that USA’s prime consideration behind
regional politics of South Asia, East Asia, Central Asia and Western Asia is to
stall China’s economic and political domination in the region. C-Pak project is
the vanguard leading China to this economic and political domination in the
region. The USA’s Afghan policy is also
based on the same consideration. The
first policy option of the USA was to establish a pro-USA and secular Afghan
regime which should be able to protect USA’s regional interests. Having failed
in achieving this first policy objective due to fierce resistance put up by
Afghan Taliban, the USA’s second policy option is to tolerate an Islamic regime
including Taliban provided such regime may become a hurdle in China’s way to
political and economic domination in the region. That is why we see, on the one hand, USA’s
efforts to include Afghan Taliban in the present Afghan set up and, on the
other hand, USA sabotaging peace talks between Afghan regime and Afghan Taliban, if Taliban come closer to China.
The USA’s Indian policy is also based on the same
consideration of stalling China’s economic and political domination in the
region. That is why USA has decided to
promote India as a counterpoise to China, and has added an additional dimension
to already going -on economic and political competition by initiating military
competition in the region through promoting Indian defense capabilities. Hence India has access to more than 95% of
USA’s defense technology; India has been declared as safe heavens for USA’s and
western investors; India is being assisted in a big way to advance its nuclear
capability and missile technology, and reflex its military muscles through its
naval power in the whole region. Such an
advancement and projection of India’s military power in the region is likely to
worry not only Pakistan but also other regional countries particularly Indian
Ocean countries. Such a scenario may force Pakistan and other regional
countries to develop a counterbalance to India in the Indian Ocean. Such a
counterbalance may be none other than Pak-China. The reason is simple; because
the C-Pak vanguards Chinese economic and political domination, it should be
Pak-China defense capabilities which can act as counterbalance to India’s
military capability in the region. For the purpose, Pakistan and China may
decide to convert Gawadar, Pasni, Ormara and Gewani into naval bases. The
choice is with USA and India- whether they want to go on with political and
economic competition or they want to add to this competition a new dimension of
military competition.
The question is whether USA and India may be able to
stall C-Pak by adding military dimension to already going-on political and
economic competition. The answer is big No; the naval forces of USA and India
at the best can watch commercial cargoes going to and from Gawadar port to/
from Indian Ocean countries and beyond. There may be two major considerations
of beefing up Indian defense capability; the first is to sell weapons to India,
which, in turn, would support USA’s weapon industry; the second is to establish
India as a military counterbalance to China so that Indian resources may be
used to prolong USA’s supremacy in the world.
This policy of promoting India as a military
counterbalance to China does not bode
well due to two reasons. First, it will be counter -productive, as mentioned
earlier, this policy would force Pakistan and China to convert Baluchistan
coast into naval bases from where military power may be reflected well deep
into Indian Ocean and beyond. Secondly, India cannot compete China in
economic and military terms because China is already five times bigger economy
than India and much advanced than India in military field as well. In this
scenario, India cannot afford initiating a military competition with much
weaker position and with the competitors which share their borders with
India’s; the neighboring competitors can do much damage to a competitor having
pluralistic society like India. Already more than a dozen big freedom movements
are running in India. It would be amazing if India chooses waging war within
its boundaries, in return of helping USA abroad. The USA’s objective behind
promoting India as a counterbalance to China is to use India’s resources to
prolong USA’s military supremacy in the world; USA is beefing up India as a
gladiator who is destined to be sacrificed later at some time.
India has also a wiser option to be adopted in this
Great Game. Instead of becoming a pawn of USA’s policy, India can integrate
with regional economic and political alliance being emerged in the region. In
this way, India, on the one hand, can avail opportunities presented by the
regional alliance and, on the other hand, can avail western investments. But
for integrating in the regional economic and political alliance, India needs to
do two things: first is to solve its issues with Pakistan, including Kashmir
dispute, and the second one is to shun away military competition with China.
Pakistan’s role in this Great Game should not be
relying on Chinese military might to protect its economic and political
interests in the region; Pakistan should demand its fair military share in the
emerging regional set up. China is going to gain a lot in terms of economic and
political domination in the region through this Great Game. Pakistan may also get its share by maximum
Chinese investments in Pakistan and by transfer of latest technologies from
China.
The USA and India can continue with sabotaging
activities to destabilize Pakistan through Afghanistan. Pakistan should respond
to such sabotaging activities by beefing up its intelligence resources within
India and Afghanistan and reply USA and India in the same kind. Pakistan cannot
delay effective response to India and USA for any longer. For the purpose,
Pakistan would have to extend all out support to Afghan Taliban against USA
forces in Afghanistan; Afghan refugees may also be sent back to Afghanistan to
add to Taliban’s manpower. But of course
in order to implement this policy, Pakistan would have to convince China and
other pro- C-Pak countries that such policy is required essentially to
implement C-Pak project. All pro- C-Pak states would have to confront USA’s and
India’s sabotaging activities by supporting Afghan Taliban and Pakistan so that
USA and India may be replied effectively within India and Afghanistan.
The Great Game going on in the region offers Pakistan
opportunities to advance and promote its economic and military strength. India
is playing on the wrong side; this fact may speed up the process of Pakistani
economic and military build- up many times.
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